Jul 30WinU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry57%Entry → Exit14¢→100¢Paper return+614.3%
Jul 2WinGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit18¢→100¢Paper return+455.6%
Jul 30WinU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry57%Entry → Exit19¢→100¢Paper return+426.3%
Jul 14Win0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit20¢→100¢Paper return+400%
Jul 29WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit22¢→100¢Paper return+354.5%
Jul 29WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit22¢→100¢Paper return+354.5%
Jul 14WinWill Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry60%Entry → Exit27¢→100¢Paper return+270.4%
Sep 4WinWill Oscar Isaac win Movie/Limited Actor at the Emmy Awards?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry55%Entry → Exit28¢→100¢Paper return+257.1%
Aug 5WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry60%Entry → Exit29¢→100¢Paper return+244.8%
Jul 7WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit29¢→100¢Paper return+244.8%
Aug 28WinWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit31¢→100¢Paper return+222.6%
Aug 22WinUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry52%Entry → Exit36¢→100¢Paper return+177.8%
Aug 21WinUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry51%Entry → Exit36¢→100¢Paper return+177.8%
Jul 15WinWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry57%Entry → Exit36¢→100¢Paper return+177.8%
Jul 12WinWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit36¢→100¢Paper return+177.8%
Aug 13WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry64%Entry → Exit38¢→100¢Paper return+163.2%
Jul 28WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit38¢→100¢Paper return+163.2%
Jul 15WinWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit38¢→100¢Paper return+163.2%
Aug 29WinWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Aug 29WinWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry59%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Aug 7WinUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry52%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Jul 16WinWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Jul 12WinWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Sep 4WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry53%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Aug 28WinWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry60%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Aug 28WinWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Jul 24WinWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Jul 14WinWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry58%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Aug 3WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry59%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Aug 11WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit43¢→100¢Paper return+132.6%
Aug 1WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit43¢→100¢Paper return+132.6%
Sep 18WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Sep 3WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry55%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Sep 3WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry55%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Sep 3WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry56%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Sep 2WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry53%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Jul 14WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Jul 12WinIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Jul 15WinIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit45¢→100¢Paper return+122.2%
Sep 16WinWill SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit46¢→100¢Paper return+117.4%
Sep 1WinWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit46¢→100¢Paper return+117.4%
Jul 13WinWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit46¢→100¢Paper return+117.4%
Sep 8WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry57%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Sep 3WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Aug 30WinWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Jul 30WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Jul 29WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry64%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Jul 28WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry60%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Jul 19WinIran full airspace closure by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Jul 17WinWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Jul 14WinIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Sep 1WinWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit49¢→100¢Paper return+104.1%
Sep 6WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry64%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Sep 5WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry60%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Aug 31WinWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 31WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry70%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 18WinIran full airspace closure by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 6WinWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 14WinWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry70%Entry → Exit51¢→100¢Paper return+96.1%
Sep 8WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 7WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Aug 19WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Jul 21WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Jul 15WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit53¢→100¢Paper return+88.7%
Jun 30WinGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit53¢→100¢Paper return+88.7%
Sep 8WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Aug 31WinWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry64%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Aug 31WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Jul 16WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Jul 15WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Jul 15WinIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Sep 3WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry71%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Sep 1WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Aug 31WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry64%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Jul 24WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Jul 20WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Jul 13WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Sep 9WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 9WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry67%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 7WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry73%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 6WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 5WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jul 23WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jul 20WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jul 17WinWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jul 17WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jul 16WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jul 6WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jun 29WinWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 8WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit57¢→100¢Paper return+75.4%
Sep 5WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit57¢→100¢Paper return+75.4%
Aug 25WinWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit57¢→100¢Paper return+75.4%
Aug 22WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit57¢→100¢Paper return+75.4%
Sep 6WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Sep 3WinWill Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Aug 29WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Aug 29WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Aug 28WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Aug 28WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Aug 22WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Aug 22WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Sep 17WinWill AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Jul 29WinU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Jul 29WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Jul 29WinU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Jul 13WinIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Jul 12WinIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Sep 1WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Aug 31WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Aug 18WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Aug 18WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Jun 29WinStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Sep 17WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 9WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 3WinWill the Bank of Russia Maintain current rate at the September Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 1WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 28WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 24WinWill the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 21WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 21WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Jul 31WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Jul 23WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Jul 20WinIran full airspace closure by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Jul 17WinWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Jul 14WinWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 10WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Sep 9WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Sep 8WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Sep 8WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Sep 3WinWill above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry73%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Aug 29WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Sep 17WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 17WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 17WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 15WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 8WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry77%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 8WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 8WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 7WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 4WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 3WinWill above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 3WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 1WinWill above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 1WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry70%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Aug 17WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 26WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 23WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 19WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 17WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 13WinWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 13WinWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 13WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 8WinWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 11WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Sep 10WinWill Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Sep 10WinWill CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Sep 10WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Sep 10WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Aug 7WinWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Jul 19WinIran full airspace closure by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Sep 19WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 14WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 14WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 11WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 8WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 8WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 31WinWill above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 31WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 25WinWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 8WinWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Jul 28WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Jul 15WinWill GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Jul 15WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Jul 13WinIran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Jul 13WinWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 10WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit65¢→100¢Paper return+53.8%
Sep 10WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit65¢→100¢Paper return+53.8%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit65¢→100¢Paper return+53.8%
Jul 16WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 19WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 18WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 17WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 16WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 15WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 10WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 8WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 29WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 21WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 21WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 16WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 13WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 13WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 10WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 9WinWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 9WinWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 7WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 1WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 11WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit67¢→100¢Paper return+49.3%
Aug 29WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit67¢→100¢Paper return+49.3%
Aug 31WinWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Jul 20WinIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Jul 12WinWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Jul 8WinWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 16WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 16WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 9WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 3WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 2WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 30WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 30WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 30WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 30WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 29WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 24WinWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 20WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 16WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 12WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 9WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 9WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit69¢→100¢Paper return+44.9%
Sep 8WinWill Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit69¢→100¢Paper return+44.9%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit69¢→100¢Paper return+44.9%
Jul 1WinStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit69¢→100¢Paper return+44.9%
Jul 1WinStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit69¢→100¢Paper return+44.9%
Sep 19WinWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 19WinWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 18WinWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 3WinWill AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 2WinWill average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry80%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 1WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 24WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 23WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 23WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 22WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 22WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 22WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 21WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 21WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 20WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 20WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 19WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 17WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 17WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 14WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 13WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 7WinWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Jul 24WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Jul 18WinIran full airspace closure by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Jul 14WinIran full airspace closure by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Jul 12WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 29WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit71¢→100¢Paper return+40.8%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit71¢→100¢Paper return+40.8%
Sep 17WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 17WinWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 9WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 4WinWill CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry92%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 3WinWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 2WinWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 29WinWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 29WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 25WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 25WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 24WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 21WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 20WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 19WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 19WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 17WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 16WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 16WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 15WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 14WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 8WinWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Jul 30WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Jul 17WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Jul 8WinWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 12WinWill “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit73¢→100¢Paper return+37%
Aug 20WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit73¢→100¢Paper return+37%
Sep 17WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 14WinWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 10WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 9WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 8WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 8WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 6WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 3WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 31WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 31WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 31WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 30WinWill Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 29WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 29WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 26WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 26WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 18WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 15WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 8WinWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 6WinWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 6WinWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 1WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Jul 19WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Jul 19WinIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Jul 18WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Jul 14WinWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 10WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit75¢→100¢Paper return+33.3%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit75¢→100¢Paper return+33.3%
Jul 12WinWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit75¢→100¢Paper return+33.3%
Sep 19WinWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 19WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 17WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 17WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 13WinWill Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 12WinWill “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 9WinWill Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 be above 334.750?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry91%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 8WinWill David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 7WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 3WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry85%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 3WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 1WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 31WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 30WinWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 30WinWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 29WinWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 29WinWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 24WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 18WinWill Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 13WinWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Jul 31WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Jul 20WinIran full airspace closure by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Jul 19WinIran full airspace closure by July 24?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Jul 16WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 16WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Sep 7WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Sep 7WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Sep 1WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Sep 17WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 16WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 16WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 16WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 12WinWill Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 12WinWill Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 10WinWill SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 9WinWill CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 9WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 9WinWill CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 9WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 8WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 8WinWill SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 31WinWill Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 29WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 29WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 24WinWill the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 20WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Jul 14WinWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Jul 14WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Jul 7WinStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 8WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Aug 29WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Aug 28WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Aug 27WinWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Jul 29WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Sep 11WinWill SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 9WinWill David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 9WinWill SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 8WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 8WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 8WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 7WinWill SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 1WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry90%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 31WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 31WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 28WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 27WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 18WinWill Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 17WinWill Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 17WinWill Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 9WinWill David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit81¢→100¢Paper return+23.5%
Sep 1WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit81¢→100¢Paper return+23.5%
Aug 10WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit81¢→100¢Paper return+23.5%
Sep 14WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 14WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 13WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 12WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 8WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 6WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 3WinWill David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 1WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 1WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 29WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 24WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 18WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 18WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 17WinWill Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 17WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 17WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 17WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 16WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 14WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 12WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 12WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 11WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 7WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 7WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 30WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 30WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 30WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 30WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 29WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 29WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Jul 12WinStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry97%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 14WinWill Rhea Seehorn win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry97%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 13WinWill Rhea Seehorn win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry97%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 13WinWill Rhea Seehorn win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry97%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 1WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 1WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Aug 30WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Aug 29WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 15WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 15WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 15WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 15WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 14WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 3WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 1WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 1WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry92%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 1WinWill above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 31WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 31WinIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry98%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 27WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 22WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 20WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 20WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry96%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 15WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry96%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 14WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 13WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 11WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 6WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Jul 20WinIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Jul 18WinIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Jul 14WinWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Jul 13WinStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry97%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 1WinIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry96%Entry → Exit85¢→100¢Paper return+17.6%
Sep 1WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit86¢→100¢Paper return+16.3%
Aug 21WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry96%Entry → Exit86¢→100¢Paper return+16.3%
Jul 20WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry96%Entry → Exit86¢→100¢Paper return+16.3%
Jul 17WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry99%Entry → Exit86¢→100¢Paper return+16.3%
Sep 20LossWill Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit50¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 19LossWill United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry50%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 18LossWill Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit63¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 18LossWill Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit73¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 17LossWill Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit81¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 15LossHow many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit63¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 14LossHow many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 13LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 13LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit75¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 13LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 12LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 12LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 12LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 12LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 12LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 12LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 11LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 11LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 11LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 10LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit81¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 10LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 10LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit81¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit44¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit80¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit80¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossSweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry53%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossWill Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit38¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 7LossWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 7LossWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 7LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 6LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 5LossWill SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 4LossWill SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossOnslaught Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry52%Entry → Exit36¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit84¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossOnslaught Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit75¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit79¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry70%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit81¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 1LossWill Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit72¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 31LossWill Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 31LossWill Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit63¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossWill Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry70%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossNATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit72¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry59%Entry → Exit50¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry67%Entry → Exit50¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry62%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit55¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossWill Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit74¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit55¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossWill Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit72¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry67%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill CZ post 20-39 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit66¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit80¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 26LossWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 26LossWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit64¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossWill Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 24LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit68¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 23LossWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit31¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 22LossWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry52%Entry → Exit29¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 21LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 20LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit72¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 13LossWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit63¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 11LossWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry70%Entry → Exit58¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 10LossWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit59¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 6LossWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 6LossWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 1LossWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit64¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 1LossWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit32¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 31LossWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 30LossWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry96%Entry → Exit83¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 30LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit45¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 28LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit44¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 24LossIran full airspace closure by July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit38¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 24LossIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry58%Entry → Exit39¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 22LossWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry57%Entry → Exit38¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 22LossUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry54%Entry → Exit38¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 21LossUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit68¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 20LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit41¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 20LossUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 20LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry97%Entry → Exit80¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 19LossWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit29¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 19LossWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 18LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit68¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 18LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry97%Entry → Exit83¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry59%Entry → Exit18¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit48¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit49¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit66¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 16LossWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit42¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 15LossWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit34¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 15LossWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit23¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 14LossWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit36¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 14LossWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 14LossWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 13LossWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry53%Entry → Exit32¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 12LossWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit28¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 12LossWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
